MACROECONOMIC POLICY
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"NEW ECONOMY"
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__________________
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BEHAVIOR OF ECONOMIC AGENTS
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IN AID TO THE ECONOMIST
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REFLECTIONS ON THE BOOK
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- Yu. Latov - Can the Theory of Economic History Be not Institutional? (On the Book by J. Hicks "A Theory of Economic History")
- V. Evstigneev - Russian Economic Thought Learns to Speak the Language of Science (On the "Economic-Mathematical Dictionary" by L. Lopatnikov)
Abstracts
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G. Fetisov. On the Choice of Goals and Instruments of Monetary policy
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There is the inherent contradiction in the present-time monetary policy -between the containment of the increase in the exchange rate of the rouble and too high Central Bank rate. This contradiction is caused by limiting the legislatively established goals of Bank of Russia to a target of inflation decrease. To provide macroeconomic stability under conditions of both high and low oil price conjuncture Bank of Russia should use diverse monetary and credit policy instruments including refinancing banking credits to enterprises and purchase of Russian government securities. Since the monetization of the Russian economy is low the threat of inflation strengthening as a result of increase of domestic credit is grossly overestimated. The evidence of this fact is the dynamics of monetary aggregates in constant prices and in terms of dollars as well as in proportion to GDP.
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N. SHKOLYAR. New Policy of Russian Cooperation with IFO:
Systemic Approach
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The article contains the systems analysis of Russian cooperation with different international financial organizations - global and regional ones, organizations of former CMEA and sub-regional banks of near abroad. The author puts forward the concept of a new policy of Russian relationship with IFO: combination of efficient use of IFO loans with active participation (e.g. as a creditor country) in their work for national interests promotion.
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S. KIMEL'MAN, S. ANDRYUSHIN.
The Problem of Mining Rent in the Contemporary
Russian Economy
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The problems of defining the economic substance, methods of calculation and forms of collecting of mining rent in the Russian oil industry are analyzed in the article. It is argued that mining rent under specific Russian conditions is not a tax, but rather a kind of rental payment. The impossibility of its quantitative estimation on the basis of the system of macroeconomic indicators is grounded. It is shown that mining rent appears and can be quantified only at the level of a certain field.
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S. BOBYLEV. Is Russia on the Way of Antisustainable Development?
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Among tendencies of antisustainable development the author emphasizes: negative dynamics and values of macroeconomic indicators; growth of the nature intensity indicators; structural changes in the economy, that lead to the increase of the nature exploiting and polluting sectors' share. In the framework of the macroeconomic policy perspective ways of shitting to sustainable development of the country are considered: adequate accounting for the ecological factor in decision making, ecologically balanced restructuring of the economy, support to innovative development, restructuring of the tax system and other directions.
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A. Zuev, L. Myasnikova. E-Commerce and the "New Economy"
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The market structure and advantages of e-commerce and the "new economy" including e-government are analyzed in the article. E-commerce and the "new economy" are considered as special web-programs forming so-called web-practices in the market. The real place of the "new economy" is connected with its convergence with the "old" one during the globalization processes. The authors also investigate the development of the "new economy" in Russia.
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A. Kuznetsov. E-Markets and Competition
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Electronic markets are thought to be perfectly efficient in terms of price levels, price dispersion, menu costs and the number of competitive sellers in the market. Indeed, menu costs and prices are usually lower online, but some empirical studies have found that electronic markets are characterised by high price dispersion and high concentration of market power. The author suggests that because of low costs of searching and acquiring information, small number of sellers and low menu costs electronic markets provide better conditions for tacit collusion. The fact that sellers are able to react to competitors' actions faster than buyers may even foster prices to increase. Tighter online competition forces each seller to differentiate from others by advertising his own brand name. In a static equilibrium an increase of the number of buyers may lead to escalation of advertising expenses and force less efficient sellers out of the market.
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T. Skuf'ina, S. Baranov. On High Technologies, Legalization Costs and Ways of Their Reduction
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Some problems and peculiarities of software used in Russia are considered through the prism of economic development. Qualitative and quantitative estimations for software legalization costs are provided along with ways of their reducing. A complex approach aimed at forming legal institutions of software usage and strengthening Russia's position in this sphere is suggested.
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V. Vishnevsky, A. Vetkin. Tax Evasion and Rational Choice of the Taxpayer
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The model of rational choice of the taxpayer who makes the decision about tax evasion is presented in the article. The influence on the decision about tax evasion of the following factors is analysed: average tax rate; the size of penalty sanctions; probability of revealing the fact of evasion; brokerages paid to mediators who assist to tax evasion; evasion transaction costs. It is grounded that lowering of tax rates produces no significant influence on reduction of evasion scale, and for this purpose it is necessary to raise operating costs for mediators and decrease the general level of corruption in the country.
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D. Strebkov. Basic Types and Factors of the Credit Behavior of Russian Citizens
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The paper provides the analysis of citizens' credit behavior issues based on sociological research data collected in autumn 2002 in Russian big regional centers. The method of principal components is used for defining main factors which characterize attitudes to money, savings, debt and credit. The paper examines the influence of gender, age, education and other social and demographic variables on the inclination to borrowing. The hierarchical cluster analysis used helps to define six groups (clusters) of people. Each group has its specific attitude to saving and borrowing. The differences between groups in basic components of the credit behavior (experience of borrowing, selection of a creditor, preferences with regard to the credit amount and time of payment, acceptable interest rate) are considered.
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A. Suetin. Balance of Payments
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The article contains a thorough analysis of various approaches to calculating the balance of payments. The retrospective evolution of scientific views on the problem of evening up the balance of payments is traced. The monetarist approach to the balance of payments adjustment is emphasized. The author underlines the IMF significant role in developing the balance of payments calculation methodology.
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